Guide
How to read a week
The calendar that actually shows up next to bitcoin — and what it is not.
What a week usually contains
Bitcoin does not have an earnings season. The calendar that moves the dollar price is mostly other people’s: central banks, legislatures, and wrappers that hold coins for customers.
- FOMC (Federal Reserve)
- Statement and a funds-rate number, then a press conference. Liquidity weather. Not a protocol change.
- Read the statement first. Dots are guesses by participants who submitted them. The chair’s tone is not a law.
- Other central banks
- Bank of England: Bank Rate, noon UK. Bank of Japan: policy rate and the yen funding channel that has squeezed risk assets before.
- A hike in Tokyo is not a bitcoin rule. It can still reprice the tape that afternoon.
- CPI and cousins
- A price index print that feeds the Fed debate. One month is not a cycle.
- Senate and House calendars
- Cloture, markup, floor. A 49–50 cloture failure is not a ban. A 28–21 committee report is not a statute. Say which room voted.
- ETF prints
- Daily creations and redemptions of the U.S. spot bitcoin funds. A wrapper. Compilers disagree by tens of millions on the same day. Treat the sign (in or out) more carefully than the last dollar.
What we do not do with a week
We do not turn a vote or a hike into a target. We do not paste a wire headline. We write the room, the number, and what is still unprinted.